New polling!

April 24, 2009 at 2:36 pm

As I work on my new projections (finishing touches), there is more bad news for Senator Arlen Specter.

A new Rasmussen Poll shows him down 51-30, 21 points.

Fifty-five percent of Republicans approve of Senator Specter, while 66% approve of Pat Toomey, his leading primary opponent. The really bad news is Specter has lost 58% of his Republican Voters due to his vote for the stimulus. Peg Luksik or any other minor candidates didn’t seem…

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Pat Toomey on (not) being a Senator

April 23, 2009 at 8:26 pm

I previously discussed Pat Toomey’s lack of aspiration for the Senate job that he expressed to Rob Gleason, but to add to that, how about this Toomey’s admission to Rob Gleason that he’d be a “disinterested, lackluster U.S. Senator”??

LACKLUSTER, so not surprisingly the Specter Camp responded. This whole interview with Chairman Gleason is not helping Toomey at all. And this doesn’t help the GOP re-brand itself from being the so called party of no……

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Slow day…

April 23, 2009 at 12:49 pm

Not much today, but I urge you to take a look at the pa2010.com

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Initial projections, left meaningless by the passage of time

April 22, 2009 at 11:54 am

Almost six months ago, I decided to go through the 2010 elections and make my first predictions. Although many candidates weren’t included that are now being mentioned or are officially in, here they are…

Tom Knox beats Tom Corbett for Governor

Joe Hoeffel over Bruce Castor for Lt. Governor

Arlen Specter over Chris Matthews for Senate

Now, obviously some of these things won’t happen since a majority of these candidates aren’t even in the races,…

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Recent Developments

April 21, 2009 at 3:57 pm

Before I could put up my first projections for 2010 and summarize the current field of candidates, State Representative William “Bill” Kurtz (D-Allegheny) announced his candidacy for Senate. A former Steel plant manager from the western side of Pennsylvania, Kurtz seems to have a pro-gun record, a pro-environmental record, and a not-so-bad NFIB Corporate rating considering he is a Democrat (60%). Seems like a moderate challenger, which could an interesting match-up in November vs. Arlen…

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1Q fundraising roundup

April 21, 2009 at 10:13 am

The Congressional fundraising numbers are in, and in the Senate race, Senator Arlen Specter is the winner. He raised $1.3 million on his way to a total of $6.7 million in his campaign coffers. However, he is not the biggest surprise of the quarter.

Although Allyson Schwartz (D-13) pulled in a strong as usual fundraising haul ($379k), bringing her total to $2.1 million and Patrick Murphy (D-8) has a low total of $252,000 in the bank, neither of them are the big surprise of the quarter.

The surprise of the 2009 year so far is Rep. Joe Sestak (D-7). He hauled in around $550,000, bringing his total to more than $3, 3 million. This is shocking, considering he is a second-term member of Congress who has already equaled Pennsylvania’s version of Terry McAuliffe, Democrat Joe Torsella, for a potential run at Arlen Specter. The other good news for Sestak is that the recent rise in piracy has gained him a lot of media attention, being a former Vice Admiral in the Navy.

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The Thing of the Week

April 20, 2009 at 9:26 am

Welcome to the Inaugural “Thing of the Week.”

This segment, which will be changed weekly, will include a quote, photo, phrase, number, person, or some other item used to sum up and draw reference to the campaign in the previous week. Although recent weeks have been busy, with the beginning of a Tom Corbett for Governor campaign, and a potential (but faulty) recruit-Arlen-Specter plan by the Democrats, led by Vice President Biden, I want to start by honoring someone that at one point was a potential candidate for US Senate just a few months ago, Chris Matthews.

His Hardball ending segment, the Big Number, is my true inspiration for this segment. So, I reach across the aisle (as my Rabbi would say) and thank Chris Matthews, who is my “Person of the Week.” I didn’t want to offend him and call him a thing, so I went with person. Thank you Chris!

And thanks, too, to his brother Jim, who for lack of a better term, is really stuck in a ditch.

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Big coverage for a big cycle

April 19, 2009 at 7:00 pm

In 2010, Pennsylvania will go down the same road it does every four years, the Midterm Election Cycle. This year would at first seem no different than the 2006 cycle, but think again.

This upcoming cycle will contain some of the most contested battles in the nation. These include a “RINO” Republican Senator defending his seat against challengers from both sides of the aisle, an open gubernatorial race, where if you prosecuted or investigated a few notable statewide figures, have a ton of cash, or have a big enough ego, you’re in, along with the usual slate of contested congressional and local races.

This type of unprecedented election deserves unprecedented coverage.

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