Updated projections

September 28, 2010 at 5:30 am

I’ll be trying to update these as often as possible.

But for now, here’s what I’m predicting.

Senate: Toomey 53 percent, Sestak 47 percent
Governor: Corbett 54 percent, Onorato 46 percent

PA-1: Brady by a lot
PA-2: Fattah by a lot
PA-3: Kelly 52 percent, Dahlkemper 48 percent
PA-4: Altmire 55 percent, Rothfus 45 percent
PA-5: Thompson by a lot
PA-6: Gerlach 54 percent, Trivedi 46 percent
PA-7:…

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Spending decisions, Republican edition

September 9, 2010 at 6:00 am

Recently I asked the question—

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Spending decisions, Democratic edition

September 7, 2010 at 6:00 am

Let’s say you’re running the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democratic Governors Association all at once.

You’ve got $5 million you can spend in Pennsylvania, and you can split up that cash in whatever way you see fit. What would you do?

Here’s my take, in the form of percentages of the total spending available.

Senate race: 30 percent… Joe Sestak will need the extra cash if he is…

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Predictions

September 1, 2010 at 6:00 am

As fun as it is to crunch numbers, simply going with your gut can be even more enjoyable.

So here it is, without looking at polls, my first round of projects for the 2010 general elections.

Senate: Pat Toomey over Joe Sestak

Governor: Tom Corbett over Dan Onorato

1st District: Bob Brady (unopposed)
2nd District: Chaka Fattah over Rick Hellberg
3rd District: Mike Kelly over Kathy Dahlkemper
4th District:…

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Petition hardball

August 26, 2010 at 6:00 am

It was pretty low for supporters of Dan Onorato to try and get this so-called Tea Party guy John Krupa on the ballot. It didn’t work, and Onorato’s campaign says it wasn’t involved.

Still, it’s just plain wrong to try overcoming a large disadvantage by introducing a fraud candidate into the race.

Now, to be fair, this conduct certainly goes both ways. The case of Carl Romanelli in 2006 is a prime example of Republicans…

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Santorum for President?

August 25, 2010 at 7:30 am

The thought of Rick Santorum in the presidential race actually scares me at first, but it interests me the more I think about it. However, instead of focusing on what he’ll bring to the race or how he’ll pull his 1 percent of the vote nationally, I’d like to focus on how a Pennsylvanian could be in the White House in 2012.

Rick already seems to have a good Iowa team lined up in Nick…

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A nuclear Iran

August 24, 2010 at 9:00 am

American assurances to Israel that it can contain a nuclear Iran are confusing to me.

This is coming from the same America that said that it could contain North Korea’s program, which is since up and running. This is the same America that said that is aimed to forge new relations with Russia, which is now fueling the nuclear plant under a somewhat suspicious promise that it will keep the Iranians from using the fuel…

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Off for the summer

June 25, 2010 at 7:43 pm

Although I’m leaving for summer camp until mid-August, I wanted to quickly chime in on the Stanley McChrystal situation. It raises many interesting points worth discussing.

One, the firing is the right move as there was really no other alternative. However, what McChrystal and his aides said will be judged soon enough based on the success of the current plan in Afghanistan. Can putting David Petreaus in charge really save a nation whose leader has…

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One more thought on Israel

June 14, 2010 at 7:30 am

Did you know that the European activists attempted to stop any confrontation? Look, Bibi Netanyahu is not perfect, and I’m not thrilled by the outcome.

But, if you were in Israel’s place, trying to reinforce a life-and-death blockade for a small nation, what would you do?

Comments?

…

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Thoughts on Israel

June 14, 2010 at 6:30 am

Look I’m not going to lie, Israel’s flotilla raid didn’t work out well at all. But, that doesn’t mean it wasn’t justified.

Let us start off with some facts. The Israeli blockade of Gaza is necessary to keep Iranian fighters and weapons out of Gaza and from killing innocent civilians with missiles. We throw fits awhen Iranian weapons are used against American soldiers, but Israel can’t feel the same way? And quite frankly, J Street,…

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