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Spending decisions, Democratic edition

Let’s say you’re running the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democratic Governors Association all at once.

You’ve got $5 million you can spend in Pennsylvania, and you can split up that cash in whatever way you see fit. What would you do?

Here’s my take, in the form of percentages of the total spending available.

Senate race: 30 percent… Joe Sestak will need the extra cash if he is going to catch Pat Toomey.

Gubernatorial race: 15 percent… Dan Onorato is a decent fundraiser, but more money couldn’t hurt.

PA-11: 16 percent… One of the closest races in the country requires a huge investment.
PA-7: 15 percent… Bryan Lentz’s chance at defending this open seat will require a boatload of cash.
PA-3: 15 percent… This seat is the Democrats’ to lose, and they’ll hold it with proper resources.
PA-15: 5 percent… John Callahan’s fundraising has been spectacular, and this could be a rare Democratic pickup.
PA-8: 5 percent… Despite common logic, this seat is proving to be a thorn in the Democrats’ side.
PA-4: 1 percent… Another seat that the Democrats hold if they spend their resources wisely.
PA-12: 1 percent… Even national attention couldn’t swing this race against the Democrats, so why worry now?
PA-10: 1 percent… Would require more money if Tom Marino knew how to raise his own.
PA-6: 1 percent… The Democrats just won’t give up on this seat, but they couldn’t get it even in a Democratic year.

September 7, 2010 at 6:00 am

--Daniel Livingston

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