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Daniel Livingston's Blog

Daniel Livingston's Blog

Red in a Sea of Blue

Predictions

As fun as it is to crunch numbers, simply going with your gut can be even more enjoyable.

So here it is, without looking at polls, my first round of projects for the 2010 general elections.

Senate: Pat Toomey over Joe Sestak

Governor: Tom Corbett over Dan Onorato

1st District: Bob Brady (unopposed)
2nd District: Chaka Fattah over Rick Hellberg
3rd District: Mike Kelly over Kathy Dahlkemper
4th District: Jason Altmire over Keith Rothfus
5th District: Glenn Thompson over Michael Pipe
6th District: Jim Gerlach over Manan Trivedi
7th District: Pat Meehan over Bryan Lentz
8th District: Patrick Murphy over Mike Fitzpatrick
9th District: Bill Shuster (unopposed)
10th District: Chris Carney over Tom Marino
11th District: Lou Barletta over Paul Kanjorski
12th District: Mark Critz over Tim Burns
13th District: Allyson Schwartz over Dee Adcock
14th District: Mike Doyle over Melissa Halusczak
15th District: Charlie Dent over John Callahan
16th District: Joe Pitts over Lois Herr
17th District: Tim Holden over Dave Argall
18th District: Tim Murphy over Dan Connolly
19th District: Todd Platts over Ryan Sanders

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September 1, 2010 at 6:00 am

--Daniel Livingston

comments

comments [5] | post a comment

  1. yourkiddenme

    Sep 1st, 2010

    OK, but by what margins in each case? Or at least attempt to list each outcome as a narrow or decisive win.

  2. Bama!

    Sep 1st, 2010

    Shuster has a democrat opponent! A former TV personality!

  3. michael livingston

    Sep 2nd, 2010

    But if that pace holds up nationally the GOP picks up 60-80 seats.

  4. Got it Right

    Sep 2nd, 2010

    I’m a Democrat and I agree with all the pre-labor day predictions by Livingston.

  5. rob Burroughs

    Sep 9th, 2010

    I think that you hit the mark except in pa-8 I believe that Fitzpatrick wins, unless Murphy can sway businesses into his corner and their employees. It will be a close race to watch for sure. And Fitz has been doing an incredible job at fundraising with more to come.
    In the 3rd I am not so sure about Kelly?? It also, should be close.

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