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Sestak, Toomey dead even in new poll

Democrat Joe Sestak’s primary surge has brought him all the way into a dead heat against Republican Senate rival Pat Toomey, according to a new poll.

The Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday showed Sestak and Toomey each garnering 43 percent of the vote, with just about 12 percent of voters still up for grabs. Sestak trailed a hypothetical matchup with Toomey by eight points about a month before his primary win, and by two points just days before the May 18 primary. Toomey still captures independents, according to the poll, though not by as large a margin a before.

“But the Senate race remains wide open, since at this point about half of the voters don’t know enough about either candidate to form an opinion,” Quinnipiac’s assistant polling director Peter Brown said. “Perhaps Toomey can feel good that in recent months, when all the attention was on Sestak’s primary win, he has limited the damage.”

The survey of 1,367 voters, conducted July 6 to July 11, had a margin of error of 2.7 percent.

Click here to see the poll.

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July 14, 2010 at 11:25 am

--pa2010.com Staff

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  1. David Diano

    Jul 14th, 2010

    who has better name recognition at this point? the undecideds are probably waiting to hear more from the lesser known candidate.

    a lot of this is going to be referendum on Obama

  2. 1994 Again

    Jul 14th, 2010

    Diano is correct. Independent and undecided voters will follow the national political mood in November. Most strategists think this will be an anti-Obama election. Toomey benefits from this.

  3. James

    Jul 14th, 2010

    Didn’t Quinnipiac just put out a poll a few days ago showing Corbett with his lowest lead ever over Onorato? Seems to be something with Quinnipiac’s methodology that is giving Democrats this boost, since all the other polls show Corbett up at least 10 and Toomey up 3-6 points. My guess is that this has something to do with them only polling registered voters, rather than likely voters.

  4. David Diano

    Jul 14th, 2010

    The governors race is less a referendum on OBAMA than for the Federal candidates.

    Bonus-gate and state budget type issues will dominate the state races.
    Stuff like health care, national debt, stimulus and unemployment will dominate federal.

  5. Infidel

    Jul 14th, 2010

    As soon as Barack Hussein Islama endorses Sestak, Toomey will be back up by double digits.

  6. IntelligentVoter

    Jul 15th, 2010

    I don’t think this is a referendum on Obama at all…but primarily becuase most people know that he has no clue what he is doing.

    Voters are finally paying attention to races in general. BUT, it is already shown that Americans have the attitude of “throw the bums out!!….oh wait, except for my own Congressman who gets me things”

    So it is unlikely that there will be much change come Nov. People will start to realize that the real power for change is on a local level…which btw, the Federal Gov is trying to take away.

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