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Pelosi lessons for GOP in the 12th
Few things unify Republican congressional candidates as much as their dogged, public criticism of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Even before she championed such legislation as health care reform and cap-and-trade energy bills, many GOP viewed Nancy Pelosi as an electoral boogieman, a polarizing figure whose agenda could form the basis of their political comeback.
But the defeat of Republican Tim Burns in the 12th District special election last month has raised questions about whether repetition of Pelosi’s name alone will suffice as a political strategy, after Burns’ efforts to tie Democrat Mark Critz to the Speaker fell far short at the polls.
“That was a big part of the mistake that Tim Burns made,” said longtime pollster G. Terry Madonna. “He did not focus enough on the specifics of jobs and energy questions, and instead made Pelosi the poster child of his campaign.” Echoing a line that Critz himself employed to great success, Madonna said Burns “focused too much on Washington, D.C., and not enough on Washington, Pa.”
Even in less conservative districts, Republicans have hardly backed off the Pelosi rhetoric (in suburban Philadelphia’s 6th District, for example, one of incumbent Republican Jim Gerlach’s first post-primary moves was to compare his Democratic opponent to Pelosi). Burns’ task was made particularly difficult by the fact that Critz distanced himself from the Democratic line on health care, abortion and guns. And it remains to be seen what lessons the GOP—and even Burns’ campaign—will take from the 12th District loss.
“We can’t really fault Burns, though,” Madonna said. “That was the strategy many Republicans and even Democrats suspected might work. Pelosi isn’t popular in the 12th by any stretch of the imagination, but in the general election I think Burns needs to get clearer about the impact Pelosi’s agenda would have on jobs and the Pennsylvania economy. It’s not enough to use her name.”
In an interview, Burns campaign spokesman Kent Gates said the campaign would hold Critz accountable if the newly-elected congressman hews to close to the Pelosi line. The two candidates are set to meet again in November, and the campaign, for the moment, still seems ready to make Pelosi an issue.
“Mr. Critz certainly ran as a conservative and certainly worked to distance himself from Nancy Pelosi,” Gates said. “We’re going to hold him to that. We think Critz is a person who will say one thing in Washington, Pa., and another thing in Washington, D.C. Pelosi’s views about health care, abortion and the size and scope of health care are dangerous for Pennsylvania jobs and welfare.”
Critz campaign manager Mike Mikus said the Pelosi-centric strategy didn’t work simply because “voters aren’t going to believe we’re a bunch of liberals.”
“Mr. Burns was not successful because, in the end, our constituents know that Congressman Mark Critz is an independent voice. That was proven on May 18 and will be proven again in November. The communities across our District that are suffering are focused on finding jobs, not on ousting Nancy Pelosi.”
June 14, 2010 at 7:00 am
Tags: Jim Gerlach, Mark Critz, Nancy Pelosi, PA-12, PA-6, Tim Burns













Brian O'Connor
Jun 14th, 2010
I wrote a very similar piece last week. However popular criticizing Nancy Pelosi is with the Republican base, 2010 elections are going to be won or lost on jobs and the economy.
Brian O’Connor
http://www.RedDogReport.com
@RedDogReport
or
Jun 14th, 2010
…or the pelosi strategy would have worked if democrat turnout for Governor and US Senate didn’t far outpace what happened on the Republican side, which was absolutely nothing. People are reading too much into this, it was a turnout problem that killed them, not a Pelosi problem.
Jon Geeting
Jun 14th, 2010
Charlie Dent has been doing a lot of crying about how mean Nancy Pelosi is in the 15th district. As FiveThirtyEight pointed out, running against Pelosi is a big electoral loser for the GOP.
http://www.lehighvalleyindependent.com/2010/06/pelosi-agenda-big-loser-issue-for-gop.html
WESTPADEM6
Jun 14th, 2010
Pelosi wont do. They need to tie Critz to Obama. November will be a much worse cycle for Critz because the turnout for the GOP will be much higher with a scheduled title fight, particularly with Corbett vs. Onorato. That and the fact that the state party will not be pouring all its resources in.
Im inclined to agree w Jon and Brian that the generalist “critz is a liberal like pelosi” tactics are a bonafide loser.
Adam S.
Jun 14th, 2010
You’re missing the point, ‘or’. Crying “Pelosi” didn’t bring out the Republican base like they thought it would.
Turnout Reality
Jun 14th, 2010
The Republican base did turnout in the election. Republican turnout increased by almost 54% over the 2006 Primary Election while Democrat turnout increased by only 28%. The problem was the Democrats who did turnout were likely primary voters many of whom actually agree with Pelosi more than disagree.
BerksWoman
Jun 15th, 2010
The problem for the GOP is that they think the idea of a woman as the 3rd most powerful person in Washington is scarey. But that is only scarey to other men. Women generally love the idea that another woman is finally in charge.
RonnyMac
Jun 16th, 2010
Truly – the problem for Burns in the 12th was that, while he did have the better and harder hitting television campaign, the people of that district are a conservative older bunch. They DO NOT LIKE and WILL NOT STAND FOR the continued negative campaigning. Tim is a very likeable young man, and he needs to play to that strength. He is FAR superior in intelligence, and has done FAR more with his education. Those are his winning ingredients, not Polosi or Obama bashing.