Jim Gerlach (R)

Democrats have repeatedly targeted the district since it was drawn for Gerlach in 2002, and have repeatedly come close. But Gerlach is a fierce campaigner and potent fundraiser. GOP hopes for holding the seat rose when he abandoned a gubernatorial run to seek reelection, but Democrats picked their stronger general election candidate in Trivedi. National climate makes it a tough pick-up for the Democrats.
Cook Index: D+4
CQ Rating: Likely R
Rothenberg: R Favored