Comments on: Automated poll shows Critz with slight lead in 12th District

By: Marylou

Marylou — Mon, 22 Mar 2010 02:00:47 +0000

The person who mentioned the percentages is right, the independent voters in the 12th really don’t have a lot of weight.

Plus, many Republicans are with Critz because of the work he has done for small business (not selling them out like Burns), NRA, and with the more powerful ones like Pasquirella (who endorsed Critz.)

Burns only has the same people Irey, Russell, Choby, etc. have had…not enough.

By: Frank

Frank — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 17:48:27 +0000

David, you’re arrogant, smarmy little jerk aren’t you? I’m surprised you aren’t into Sestak. Seems like you two have a lot in common. If I ever saw you in real life I’d seriously punch you right in your face, not because of your views, but because of your elitist attitude. You’re the reason the rest of PA hates philly.

By: Jtown Dem

Jtown Dem — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 04:00:01 +0000

I said Critz would be a train wreck. We shot ourselves in the foot with this guy. He should have a wide early lead.

By: Mark

Mark — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 02:59:50 +0000

Actually automated polls have been shown to be more accurate especially when tracking. Bigger sample reflects a lower margin of error and voters answer more honestly because they don’t feel obliged to try and please the caller.

We Ask America was involved in the Illinois governors race and had the most accurate results – within one half of one percent in final poll. Got every poll right and was only group to call the lt governors race.

By: David Diano

David Diano — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 02:08:08 +0000

That is one f*cking gerrymandered district.

Frank-
The district is 62% Dem, 29% Rep and 9% Ind/Oth.

Critz could lose 100% of the Independents and it wouldn’t make a difference. The turnout percentage of independents in that district is very low. Less than 50% of them even bothered to vote in the 2008 Presidential election (compared to 66% for the Dems and Reps).

Once again, you haven’t allowed your lack of knowledge get in the way of expressing a meaningless opinion. Bravo!

By: STEELBLITZ1

STEELBLITZ1 — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 01:59:08 +0000

We Ask America found Democrat Mark Critz with a slight lead, 38.8 percent to Republican Tim Burns’s 34.7 percent. Another 26.4 percent are undecided. Among independents, Burns is doing extremely well, leading 72.9 percent to 10.3 percent. The sample size is a healthy 1,365

This was from the web article.

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDcxMTFiNDdkZDM3YTRiNWQ3ODdjMjg5NGMyM2UxMWM=

Yeah, i think he screwed up too now that i look at it. Indies are 39-19

By: Frank

Frank — Thu, 18 Mar 2010 00:51:00 +0000

Did I read the poll wrong? I believe it showed Burns leading Critz 72-10 amongst Republicans, which certainly wouldn’t be a shock. The Independents were going for Burns over Critz 39-20, which is a pretty poor showing but not as devastating as 72-10. If Critz was losing Independents 72-10 this race would be over. I don’t know if a Democrat could win in San Fran if they lose Independents by over 60%.

By: STEELBLITZ1

STEELBLITZ1 — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 23:41:50 +0000

Critz leading by 3… VERY disturbing for his prospects is Burns 72-10 lead amongst independents at the out set. However, hard to gauge anything in 2 months.