General election horse race polls are useless and pointless this far out. Let’s look at the numbers once we get to, say, Labor Day. That’s when they’ll start having some meaning.

Dan-
Minor typos:
“In the same group of voters, Toomey would beat [Sestak] 38 percent to 20 percent, with 39 percent undecided.”
Also, Sestak trails Toomey 22 to 25 (which is three, not two points) among registered voters.

Toomey’s lead among Independents will evaporate once voters learn how far to the Right he is.

The Tea Party support is scary.

But, look at the abortion poll result. Only 22% think abortion should be illegal in all cases. That’s Toomey’s crowd, and Specter should be able to tap into the pro-choice crowd.

Bruce-
The poll results for the Primary: Specter 33% Sestak 16% are far more relevant than a general election poll, before Labor Day.

But, we are 12 weeks away from the Dem Primary. Specter has a 2-1 advantage (or 17-points). No matter how you look at it, Sestak has shown no traction for months, and has even fallen back.

At this point, it’s pretty obvious that Sestak can’t win the primary, and his staying in will damage the Democratic party. Already his comments about a job offer have been picked up and embraced by the right-wing conservative blogs as ammunition against Obama.

Mr. Diano: Yes, Sestak’s feeble attempts to blackmail the incumbent Democratic President of the United States have indeed provided fodder for Fox News pundits – something that should appall all Democrats. This self-interested, self-involved, self-serving egomaniac attaches no importance whatsoever to his political party or his constituents. His sole aim is to avoid incarceration in a federal prison. If the Democratic Party suffers, so be it.

More than ever, David, I believe that you are engaging in wishful thinking. With the poll showing that Specter leads Sestak 33% to 16%, that leaves 51% undecided — hardly a sign that the result is a foregone conclusion. The far better known incumbent is not even close to 50%.

Perhaps more meaningful are the poll results that 45% have an unfavorable opinion of Specter while only 32% a favorable one; and that only 25% believe he deserves reelection.

On the other hand, a whopping 77% said that they don’t know enough about Sestak to have an opinion. This cuts two ways. First, it gives Sestak a massive opportunity to gain a ton of support if he can create a favorable opinion of himself in the minds of the undecideds.

Contrarily, it makes one wonder why Sestak has not begun his media campaign to reach those undecideds and those who don’t know enough about him. What’s he going to do with his $5,000,000 campaign chest? It won’t do him any good if he waits until after the primary to spend it.

It’s almost beginning to look as if Specter can’t win the primary election and Sestak doesn’t want to win. Small wonder that Toomey has a temporary lead over both of these guys.

Tick, tick, tick……..TOOMEY

Toomey is overwhelmingly favored by independent voters—36 percent to 15 percent over Specter, and 32 percent to 12 percent over Sestak.Wow! that must be made up of all Those scary Tea Party loons! Those independent right wing social
extremeist. Toomey will be our next Senator!

Toomey Rules!

95 South- That sounds like the ticking down of the economic terrorist’s bomb going off if Toomey is elected…

Bruce Bailey- I think David Diano is correct in saying that the polling is probably indicative of the primary, but not the race in November. Toomey has no ideas other than to run against Specter and not for anything that will help to solve the economic problems our country is facing. Sure, that approach can work occasionally of beating up on the other guy while offering no solutions of your own, but more often than not it fails for the one taking that road.

Ed H., it is the ticking down of the clock of the career of the Embalmed Arlen Specter.