Three weeks ago, Ras had Brown losing to Coakley by 20 points but she was just barely above 50. Within a week, her lead was 10 points and then it vanished a week later and she had tumbled below 50.
No matter who is doing the polls, I think that the message in polls this year is volatility and of you are ahead, you should be very nervous if you are near 50.
By the way, Arlen was leading Toomey by 30 plus points at this time six years ago.

This isn’t volatility. This is trend.

Considering how skewed Rasmussen has been, the Quinnipiac poll will probably be 30 points.

I concur. In all probability, Specter’s lead is far more significant than what Rasmussen suggests. Representative Sestak is a non-entity in this race. He is simply too megalomaniacal to concede defeat. Surely the people of PA have not rejected him. Not him, the exalted Joe Sestak. This cannot be happening. We are supposed to pay homage to him, to revere him! But it is happening. The illustrious Sestak is being trounced by a decrepit incumbent who only recently changed his party affiliation. Pitiful. Political ruin and ongoing investigations (notice the plural Mr. Diano). What a spectacle Joe’s life has become.

Hater-
Over 3 years ago, Weldon got in trouble for getting his daughter and friend a million dollar contract with a foreign company as “consultants”. That was the tip of the iceberg. They had months of phone taps.
Weldon lost his seat, and spent hundreds of thousands in legal defense, but hasn’t seen a lick of jail time. His “friend” got caught attempting to destroy evidence by dumping a Blackberry in a trashcan at a fast food place.

So, I’m pretty skeptical that anything with “legal repercussions” is going to happen to him. Besides, getting crushed and rejected by the voters is probably a bigger punishment than anything the government could hand out.

Hey HateSestak,

I hate to have to say this again, but I’m going to ask you once more to stop insinuating that Congressman Sestak is under investigation without offering any substantiation. Like I said before, you made your point, and until you have something more to show, please keep the focus elsewhere. Even for elected officials, there’s a line, and you’ve officially crossed it.

My offer to discuss this off-record remains open (editor@pa2010.com). I really don’t want to bar you, or anyone else, from commenting on the site. But if you keep going with this I don’t think I’ll have a choice.

I sincerely hope this is the last time you’ll make the insinuation on our pages.

Thanks.

Dan Hirschhorn

HateSestak-

I have to agree with Dan on this. Dropping an innuendo without any proof… or even elaborating is hard to follow. Kind of unclear as to what you are referring to.

Dan and WestDem-
I concur.

Back to the poll….
With Specter at 53%, Sestak at 32%, 11% undecided and 4% “other”, Sestak can’t even close the gap with the undecideds.
Back in June (when Joe was “in”, but not “in”, even though he was “in”), Rasmussen had the race %51 to %32. In Rasmussen, Joe had gotten within 4 points (46% to %42), but that gap is now back worse than June.
So, basically, the past 7 months of campaigning have brought Joe literally back to square one. LOL!

Dan:

Perhaps we can discuss this matter off the record. Perhaps. I’ll need some assurances that you are truly committed to the disclosure of the empirical facts (and have no links whatsoever to the office-holder in question) – and that you recognize the potential danger involved. The above-mentioned office-holder is more unscrupulous than you can possibly imagine, and the allegations that are being explored (by multiple government agencies and entities) are very, VERY serious. So serious, in fact, that those who dare speak of it have been targeted for retaliation. I, by contrast, am an extraordinarily reputable citizen (understatement of the century thus far) who just happens to have been victimized by the above-mentioned office-holder. Forgive me if I have infringed on the rules that govern this site – but perhaps if the news media did a satisfactory job, the public would have already been alerted. That is an ongoing source of frustration. Law enforcement agencies are definitely fulfilling their responsibilities – the press most assuredly is not. Insiders (including the aforementioned office-holders opponents) all know what is transpiring. They have opted to remain silent so as not to jeopardize an ongoing inquiry.

Hater-
I’ve discussed confidential stuff with Dan, where I’ve named the names of my sources to back up my statements. Dan has held those confidences. So. I find him very trustworthy.

If he can independently verify anything you have to say, I’m confident he would report it and be happy to break the story.

I urge you to tell him your story. He’s very professional.