Michael Livingston's Blog
Michael Livingston's Blog
Purple in Pennsylvania
send to a friend | print | comment
Obama an elusive target for Republicans
Much of the scuttlebutt in the past week has been about Obama’s Nobel Prize and the predictable responses to it. Two other, more substantive developments suggest that—for all his so-called celebrity status—Obama may prove a more elusive target for Republicans than they anticipate.
The first are reports that General Motors, which had been written off for dead after a taxpayer-supported bailout, has stabilized its market share (approximately 20 percent in the U.S.) and made at least the first steps toward modernizing its corporate culture. This probably won’t change anyone’s mind about the propriety of government bailouts—I myself recently bought a new Honda—but at very least it should help the Democrats in Michigan, a state they won easily last time but might not do so again.
The second is the debate on Afghanistan where Obama, rather than going with the extremes in either direction, is floating a “third way” trial balloon, suggesting that we might maintain (or even increase) our troop presence but focus on fighting Al Qaeda and perhaps even admit some Taliban presence in the Afghan government. Again, this may or may not be good policy—neither Al Qaeda nor the Taliban wear identifying T-shirts, and it’s not clear they can easily be told apart—but it is a creative approach different from that emanating from the ideologues in either party.
None of this means Obama was right about either decision, or that the GOP can’t, or shouldn’t, give him hell about both of them. The point is that an incumbent president can change the terms of the debate very quickly, and Republicans who were planning to run against one person, in 2010 or later, may find themselves running against someone different overnight.
Something to keep in mind as the barbs about the Nobel Committee and other amusing but insubstantial events keep flying.
October 13, 2009 at 1:53 pm
Tags: Barack Obama













Adam Schwartzbaum
Oct 13th, 2009
agreed Michael. Obama is a deft politician still widely liked by a majority of voters. In my opinion, GOP is going to base their strategy in 2010 not on running against him but rather Pelosi – attacking the female “San Francisco liberal” will be much easier for them then taking on a popular president.
flynnbw
Oct 13th, 2009
It is still important to remember these simple facts:
- President Obama received over 3.2 million votes in Pennsylvania (55% of the total).
- The President received 58% of the vote in the 6th District of Pennsylvania (where Republicans are looking to hold on to Mr. Gerlach’s seat).
- He received 56% in PA-7 (where GOPers are bullish about Pat Meehan’s chances to take over the seat Mr. Sestak is vacating).
In these districts, GOP demonizes President Obama at its peril.
And while it is also true that in districts like PA-4 and PA-10 the President got only 44 and 45 percent of the vote (respectively), Reps. Altmire and Carney have established independent, conservative profiles and are not identified closely with President Obama.
In any event, this all makes PA a VERY interesting state, politics-wise.